Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.020436 0.021945 0.023515 0.025272 0.027187 0.029211 0.031517
2024-10-06 0.017729 0.019875 0.022223 0.024992 0.028177 0.031737 0.036034
2024-10-13 0.015890 0.018392 0.021235 0.024723 0.028907 0.033790 0.039961
2024-10-20 0.014357 0.017041 0.020184 0.024163 0.029100 0.035072 0.042911
2024-10-27 0.013522 0.016407 0.019877 0.024394 0.030171 0.037387 0.047197
2024-11-03 0.012731 0.015744 0.019452 0.024398 0.030896 0.039248 0.050964
2024-11-10 0.012184 0.015335 0.019293 0.024694 0.031971 0.041579 0.055466
2024-11-17 0.011473 0.014658 0.018734 0.024407 0.032220 0.042783 0.058461
2024-11-24 0.010913 0.014141 0.018342 0.024299 0.032676 0.044262 0.061906
2024-12-01 0.010330 0.013556 0.017820 0.023969 0.032782 0.045228 0.064634
2024-12-08 0.009937 0.013204 0.017587 0.024016 0.033407 0.046949 0.068574
2024-12-15 0.009456 0.012705 0.017123 0.023700 0.033472 0.047831 0.071266
2024-12-22 0.008947 0.012147 0.016554 0.023208 0.033256 0.048290 0.073346
2024-12-29 0.008558 0.011740 0.016178 0.022977 0.033413 0.049317 0.076396
2025-01-05 0.008195 0.011354 0.015814 0.022739 0.033535 0.050283 0.079396
2025-01-12 0.007783 0.010877 0.015292 0.022232 0.033205 0.050499 0.081132
2025-01-19 0.007598 0.010725 0.015242 0.022442 0.034009 0.052577 0.086192
2025-01-26 0.007371 0.010499 0.015069 0.022445 0.034476 0.054119 0.090412
2025-02-02 0.007226 0.010390 0.015066 0.022714 0.035383 0.056441 0.096193
2025-02-09 0.006957 0.010081 0.014743 0.022454 0.035392 0.057225 0.099195
2025-02-16 0.006744 0.009849 0.014529 0.022356 0.035666 0.058473 0.103147
2025-02-23 0.006495 0.009553 0.014202 0.022057 0.035576 0.059070 0.105883
2025-03-02 0.006338 0.009394 0.014085 0.022100 0.036077 0.060745 0.110842